Wednesday, 14 October 2009

Ooops!

 
 Tennis Daily P&L-90.81 Monthly P&L -81.43 
 Horses Daily P&L0.00 Monthly P&L 34.82 
  Total -46.61 


Feeling a bit ill, and had trouble getting out of bed this morning, Looking at my P&L I should have stayed there... Is not easy posting two big losing days in a row... But I'm still optimistic...

I'm probably making some mistakes in the Tennis, the main one being market selections this week. But I'm still using a sledge hammer, so hopefully things can/will improve.

Not a problem as long as I learn (or it may just be the distribution of probability at work). The historical data has a lot of information missing, e.g. indoor/outdoor, surface, prize money, country, etc. any of which may influence the market/players/odds.

What I am thinking at the moment is that it's possible/probable that low liquidity markets in women's Tournaments that have low prize money aren't good for my bank, so I need to do a bit more research and start keeping track of some extra data.

I could add the missing data to the database manually, but it would take a while. I added things like favourite/non favourite and sex quite easily. Fav is just the player(s) with the lowest odds at the start, and once you put in the sex of one player you can assume the same sex for every player they play and do update queries... so sexing the singles was dead easy, doubles were a bit trickier but still fairly easy.

I have to stick with the sledgehammer at the moment as it's all I've got, but I need to keep refining my data and filters as I go along...

This is one of the reasons why I'm not giving much detail about my tennis trades at the moment. I'm quite happy to risk my own money while I see if this is profitable, but not yours.

No horse trading today, just lots of coughing and sneezing and drinking Lemsip (which isn't anywhere near as good as they make out on the adverts)

Hopefully will be able to try out The Toy tomorrow

2 comments:

  1. Hi Cran,

    if you're looking for tennis data, try www.oncourt.info - it's the database most of the pros use. Very, very useful.

    ReplyDelete
  2. Thanks!

    So far I've only been using the Betfair Historical data.

    ReplyDelete